Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Lacerda vs William Caron

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-6-0Record0-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
70"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 LBS
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamTristar Québec

What's at stake

Daniel Lacerda is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — William Caron carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daniel LacerdaNow 1507
If they win+14→ 1521
If they lose-18→ 1489
William CaronNow 1471
If they win+26→ 1497
If they lose-22→ 1449

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.95
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
8.28
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
35%
Strike defense
TBD
2.32
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.16
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Daniel LacerdaWilliam Caron
1500155020172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
7 (58%)
Submission
1 (100%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Lacerda52%
William Caron 48%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Lacerda a 52% favorite over William Caron in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Daniel Lacerda holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1507 to 1471, a 36-point edge.

Daniel Lacerda finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.