Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Marcos vs Henry Cejudo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-1-0Record16-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'4"
69"Reach64"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Los Perros SarnososTeamFight Ready

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel MarcosNow 1767
If they win+16→ 1783
If they lose-16→ 1751
Henry CejudoNow 1770
If they win+16→ 1786
If they lose-16→ 1754

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1782 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.11
Sig. strikes / min
3.82
54%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.46
62%
Strike defense
60%
0.99
Takedown avg.
1.84
46%
Takedown accuracy
31%
85%
Takedown defense
76%
0
Submission avg.
0.15

Trajectory

Daniel MarcosHenry Cejudo
1750180020242025

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
1 (6%)
Submission
0 (0%)
9 (50%)
Decision
8 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Marcos66%
Henry Cejudo 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Marcos a 66% favorite over Henry Cejudo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Henry Cejudo's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1767 vs 1770), separated by just 3 points.

Henry Cejudo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Daniel Marcos finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Henry Cejudo 50%.

Daniel Marcos carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.