Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Pineda vs Jarno Errens

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

28-17-0Record15-6-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'11"
69"Reach73"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
4oz. Fight ClubTeamTeam Thriving

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel PinedaNow 1593
If they win+12→ 1605
If they lose-12→ 1581
Jarno ErrensNow 1595
If they win+16→ 1611
If they lose-16→ 1579

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.85
Sig. strikes / min
3.29
50%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.29
46%
Strike defense
62%
1.42
Takedown avg.
0
24%
Takedown accuracy
0%
55%
Takedown defense
33%
1.54
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Daniel PinedaJarno Errens
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (32%)
KO/TKO
3 (20%)
19 (68%)
Submission
5 (33%)
0 (0%)
Decision
7 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Jarno Errens66%
Daniel Pineda 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jarno Errens a 66% favorite over Daniel Pineda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1595), separated by just 2 points.

Daniel Pineda enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Daniel Pineda finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jarno Errens 53%.

Jarno Errens carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.