Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Pineda vs Koyomi Matsushima

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

28-17-0Record14-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
69"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
4oz. Fight ClubTeamGaio Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel PinedaNow 1593
If they win+12→ 1605
If they lose-12→ 1581
Koyomi MatsushimaNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.85
Sig. strikes / min
2.70
50%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.83
46%
Strike defense
60%
1.42
Takedown avg.
9
24%
Takedown accuracy
53%
55%
Takedown defense
33%
1.54
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Daniel PinedaKoyomi Matsushima
160020232024

Win method breakdown

9 (32%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
19 (68%)
Submission
1 (7%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Koyomi Matsushima70%
Daniel Pineda 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Koyomi Matsushima a 70% favorite over Daniel Pineda in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniel Pineda's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1588), separated by just 5 points.

Daniel Pineda enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Daniel Pineda finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Koyomi Matsushima 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.