Daniel Pineda vs Mike Santiago
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-17-0Record22-14-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'10"
69"Reach41,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
4oz. Fight ClubTeamTop Notch Fitness
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1605
If they lose-12→ 1581
If they win+12→ 1602
If they lose-12→ 1578
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daniel PinedaMike Santiago
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Santiago62%
Daniel Pineda 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Santiago a 62% favorite over Daniel Pineda in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniel Pineda's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1590), separated by just 3 points.
Daniel Pineda enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Mike Santiago enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Daniel Pineda finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mike Santiago 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.