Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Roberts vs Kiefer Crosbie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-7-0Record10-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach70"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Cesar Gracie Fight TeamTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel RobertsNow 1563
If they win+16→ 1579
If they lose-16→ 1547
Kiefer CrosbieNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.73
Sig. strikes / min
6.61
20%
Strike accuracy
52%
2.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.49
46%
Strike defense
51%
2.46
Takedown avg.
0.69
44%
Takedown accuracy
40%
40%
Takedown defense
100%
2.46
Submission avg.
0.34

Trajectory

Daniel RobertsKiefer Crosbie
155016002013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
9 (60%)
Submission
2 (20%)
4 (27%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Kiefer Crosbie56%
Daniel Roberts 44%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Kiefer Crosbie a 56% favorite over Daniel Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1563 vs 1567), separated by just 4 points.

Kiefer Crosbie enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Daniel Roberts finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Kiefer Crosbie 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.