Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Rodriguez vs Jake Matthews

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Combat Edge model read

Jake Matthews62%
Daniel Rodriguez38%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Jake Matthews a 62% favorite over Daniel Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1747 vs 1753), separated by just 6 points.

Daniel Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Daniel Rodriguez finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Jake Matthews 61%.

Daniel Rodriguez and Jake Matthews share 1 common opponent: Neil Magny.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Jake Matthews
au

Jake Matthews

“The Celtic Kid”

23-8-0WelterweightUFC

1753 Great

Tale of the tape

20-5-0 Record 23-8-0
Middleweight Division Welterweight
6'0" Height 5'11"
74" Reach 73"
184 lbs Weight 170 lbs
10th Planet Jiu-Jitsu Team Nexus

Tracked stat edges

7.20
Sig. strikes / min
3.34
49%
Strike accuracy
44%
5.40
Strikes absorbed / min Lower is better
2.62
58%
Strike defense
60%
0.51
Takedown avg.
1.44
50%
Takedown accuracy
42%
64%
Takedown defense
64%
0.08
Submission avg.
0.75

Trajectory

Daniel Rodriguez Jake Matthews
1700 1750 2023 2024 2025 2026

Win method breakdown

9 (45%)
KO/TKO
5 (22%)
4 (20%)
Submission
9 (39%)
7 (35%)
Decision
9 (39%)

Common opponents (1)

Loss Submission · 2022
Neil Magny
Loss Submission · 2025