Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Salas vs Jutaro Nakao

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Daniel Salas
mx

Daniel Salas

“El Cazador”

20-9-1WelterweightOKMMA

1534Average

Tale of the tape

20-9-1Record26-21-4
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'9"
70"ReachTBD
157 lbsWeight170 lbs
Bonebreakers MMATeamJutaro Nakao MMA School

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel SalasNow 1534
If they win+16→ 1550
If they lose-16→ 1518
Jutaro NakaoNow 1533
If they win+12→ 1545
If they lose-12→ 1521

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.59
TBD
Strike accuracy
43%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.07
TBD
Strike defense
45%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
56%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Daniel SalasJutaro Nakao
1550201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (30%)
KO/TKO
7 (27%)
9 (45%)
Submission
14 (54%)
5 (25%)
Decision
5 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Salas66%
Jutaro Nakao 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Salas a 66% favorite over Jutaro Nakao in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1534 vs 1533), separated by just 1 points.

Daniel Salas enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jutaro Nakao enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Daniel Salas finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Jutaro Nakao 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.