Daniel Santos vs John Castañeda
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-3-0Record21-9-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
67"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamThe Academy
What's at stake
John Castañeda is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Daniel Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1667
If they lose-14→ 1635
If they win+11→ 1695
If they lose-13→ 1671
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1634 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1669 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Daniel SantosJohn Castañeda
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Castañeda64%
Daniel Santos 36%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes John Castañeda a 64% favorite over Daniel Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
John Castañeda holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1684 to 1649, a 35-point edge.
Daniel Santos finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, John Castañeda 67%.
John Castañeda carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.