Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Santos vs Shin Haraguchi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-3-0Record8-1-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'6"
67"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight146 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamBrave

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel SantosNow 1643
If they win+16→ 1659
If they lose-16→ 1627
Shin HaraguchiNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1623 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.76
Sig. strikes / min
2.28
41%
Strike accuracy
64%
5.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.78
51%
Strike defense
48%
3.01
Takedown avg.
11.21
40%
Takedown accuracy
54%
73%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Daniel SantosShin Haraguchi
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
2 (14%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (36%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Santos59%
Shin Haraguchi 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Santos a 59% favorite over Shin Haraguchi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shin Haraguchi's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1643 vs 1646), separated by just 3 points.

Daniel Santos finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Shin Haraguchi 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.