Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Spitz vs Gable Steveson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Daniel Spitz
us

Daniel Spitz

“Daddy Long Legs”

6-3-0HeavyweightUFC

1579Solid

Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record3-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'1"
45,0"Reach-
240 lbsWeight265 lbs
SikjitsuTeamLa Bodega Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel SpitzNow 1579
If they win+24→ 1603
If they lose-24→ 1555
Gable StevesonNow 1578
If they win+24→ 1602
If they lose-24→ 1554

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1493 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.60
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
36%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
46%
Strike defense
TBD
0.74
Takedown avg.
TBD
67%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Daniel SpitzGable Steveson
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
3 (100%)
3 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (17%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Gable Steveson70%
Daniel Spitz 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gable Steveson a 70% favorite over Daniel Spitz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniel Spitz's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1579 vs 1578), separated by just 1 points.

Daniel Spitz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gable Steveson enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Daniel Spitz finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Gable Steveson 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.