Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Teymur vs Lucas Alexander

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record8-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'5"Height5'11"
69,0"Reach73"
145 lbsWeight148 lbs
Allstars Training CenterTeamFusion X-Cel Performance

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel TeymurNow 1578
If they win+16→ 1594
If they lose-16→ 1562
Lucas AlexanderNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.08
Sig. strikes / min
5.23
47%
Strike accuracy
55%
3.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.83
56%
Strike defense
71%
0.56
Takedown avg.
0
18%
Takedown accuracy
0%
60%
Takedown defense
57%
0.28
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Daniel TeymurLucas Alexander
160020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
3 (43%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (14%)
Decision
5 (63%)

Combat Edge model read

Lucas Alexander57%
Daniel Teymur 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Alexander a 57% favorite over Daniel Teymur in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniel Teymur's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1576), separated by just 2 points.

Lucas Alexander enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Daniel Teymur finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Alexander 38%.

Lucas Alexander carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.