Danilo Belluardo vs Jeremy Stephens
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-6-0Record29-23-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
74,5"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Aurora MMATeamAlliance MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1574
If they lose-16→ 1542
If they win+12→ 1563
If they lose-12→ 1539
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Danilo BelluardoJeremy Stephens
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Danilo Belluardo63%
Jeremy Stephens 37%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Danilo Belluardo a 63% favorite over Jeremy Stephens in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1558 vs 1551), separated by just 7 points.
Jeremy Stephens enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Danilo Belluardo finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Jeremy Stephens 72%.
Danilo Belluardo carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.