Combat Edge Intelligence

Danilo Belluardo vs Kaiwen Li

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kaiwen Li
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Kaiwen Li

“The Underdog”

12-6-0LightweightRUFC

1564Solid

Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record12-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
74,5"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight150 lbs
Aurora MMATeamK-1 Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danilo BelluardoNow 1558
If they win+16→ 1574
If they lose-16→ 1542
Kaiwen LiNow 1564
If they win+16→ 1580
If they lose-16→ 1548

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.52
Sig. strikes / min
4.32
62%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.74
41%
Strike defense
54%
3.50
Takedown avg.
0.78
100%
Takedown accuracy
33%
50%
Takedown defense
92%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Danilo BelluardoKaiwen Li
155016002019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
3 (23%)
Submission
1 (8%)
3 (23%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Kaiwen Li58%
Danilo Belluardo 42%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Kaiwen Li a 58% favorite over Danilo Belluardo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1558 vs 1564), separated by just 6 points.

Kaiwen Li enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Danilo Belluardo finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Kaiwen Li 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.