Combat Edge Intelligence

Danilo Marques vs Leonardo Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record22-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'6"Height6'2"
77"Reach75"
249 lbsWeight206 lbs
Kings MMATeamChina Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danilo MarquesNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Leonardo SilvaNow 1588
If they win+12→ 1600
If they lose-12→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.44
Sig. strikes / min
1.07
80%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.54
52%
Strike defense
50%
3.93
Takedown avg.
24.11
29%
Takedown accuracy
50%
0%
Takedown defense
0%
0.79
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Danilo MarquesLeonardo Silva
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
12 (55%)
7 (47%)
Submission
4 (18%)
4 (27%)
Decision
6 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Leonardo Silva60%
Danilo Marques 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Leonardo Silva a 60% favorite over Danilo Marques in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Danilo Marques's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1588), separated by just 2 points.

Leonardo Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Danilo Marques finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Leonardo Silva 73%.

Danilo Marques carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.