Combat Edge Intelligence

Danilo Suzart vs Steven Asplund

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record7-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'5"
74"Reach78"
255 lbsWeight261 lbs
Life MMATeamMcCune's Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danilo SuzartNow 1617
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601
Steven AsplundNow 1620
If they win+24→ 1644
If they lose-24→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.09
Sig. strikes / min
19.93
56%
Strike accuracy
59%
11.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.49
52%
Strike defense
58%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Danilo SuzartSteven Asplund
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (70%)
KO/TKO
6 (86%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (30%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Steven Asplund60%
Danilo Suzart 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Steven Asplund a 60% favorite over Danilo Suzart in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1620), separated by just 3 points.

Danilo Suzart finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Steven Asplund 86%.

Steven Asplund carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.