Danny Castillo vs Paul Felder
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
17-10-0Record17-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
71,0"Reach70,5"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamRoufusport
What's at stake
Paul Felder is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Danny Castillo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-8→ 1596
If they win+8→ 1742
If they lose-16→ 1718
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Danny CastilloPaul Felder
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paul Felder83%
Danny Castillo 17%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Paul Felder a 83% favorite over Danny Castillo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Paul Felder holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1734 to 1604, a 130-point edge.
Danny Castillo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Paul Felder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Danny Castillo finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Paul Felder 65%.
Danny Castillo and Paul Felder share 1 common opponent: Edson Barboza.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.