Combat Edge Intelligence

Danny Mitchell vs Darian Weeks

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Danny Mitchell

Danny Mitchell

“The Cheesecake Assassin”

20-9-1WelterweightCS

1594Solid

Tale of the tape

20-9-1Record8-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'10"
TBDReach 72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
AVT Fight TeamTeamHulett House Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danny MitchellNow 1594
If they win+12→ 1606
If they lose-12→ 1582
Darian WeeksNow 1593
If they win+16→ 1609
If they lose-16→ 1577

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1478 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.53
Sig. strikes / min
4.49
49%
Strike accuracy
51%
2.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.56
53%
Strike defense
52%
0
Takedown avg.
2
0%
Takedown accuracy
30%
100%
Takedown defense
100%
3
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Danny MitchellDarian Weeks
1550160020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (30%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
12 (60%)
Submission
1 (13%)
2 (10%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Darian Weeks66%
Danny Mitchell 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Darian Weeks a 66% favorite over Danny Mitchell in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Danny Mitchell's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1593), separated by just 1 points.

Danny Mitchell finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Darian Weeks 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.