Combat Edge Intelligence

Danny Sabatello vs Dwight Joseph

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-4-0Record16-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
69.50"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danny SabatelloNow 1689
If they win+16→ 1705
If they lose-16→ 1673
Dwight JosephNow 1690
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.07
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
57%
Strike accuracy
TBD
0.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
25%
Strike defense
TBD
3
Takedown avg.
TBD
75%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
1
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Danny SabatelloDwight Joseph
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (21%)
KO/TKO
5 (31%)
5 (36%)
Submission
3 (19%)
6 (43%)
Decision
8 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Danny Sabatello and Dwight Joseph within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1689 vs 1690), separated by just 1 points.

Danny Sabatello finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Dwight Joseph 50%.

Danny Sabatello and Dwight Joseph share 1 common opponent: Taylor Moore.

Danny Sabatello carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

Win Decision · 2020
Taylor Moore
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2022