Combat Edge Intelligence

Dante Rivera vs Josh Fremd

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-7-0Record11-6-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'4"
TBDReach76"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Renzo Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dante RiveraNow 1606
If they win+12→ 1618
If they lose-12→ 1594
Josh FremdNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.27
Sig. strikes / min
2.52
53%
Strike accuracy
44%
4
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.23
25%
Strike defense
47%
0
Takedown avg.
0.66
0%
Takedown accuracy
25%
17%
Takedown defense
30%
0
Submission avg.
1.09

Trajectory

Dante RiveraJosh Fremd
1600165020142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
8 (50%)
Submission
4 (36%)
5 (31%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Fremd52%
Dante Rivera 48%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Fremd a 52% favorite over Dante Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1610), separated by just 4 points.

Josh Fremd enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dante Rivera finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Josh Fremd 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.