Combat Edge Intelligence

Danu Tărchilă vs Sam Sicilia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record18-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
69"Reach67,0"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Thai Boxing ClubTeamSikjitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danu TărchilăNow 1574
If they win+16→ 1590
If they lose-16→ 1558
Sam SiciliaNow 1574
If they win+12→ 1586
If they lose-12→ 1562

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.46
TBD
Strike accuracy
34%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.55
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.45
TBD
Takedown accuracy
43%
TBD
Takedown defense
70%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.87

Trajectory

Danu TărchilăSam Sicilia
1550160020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
3 (38%)
Submission
4 (22%)
3 (38%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Danu Tărchilă62%
Sam Sicilia 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Danu Tărchilă a 62% favorite over Sam Sicilia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1574 vs 1574), separated by just 0 points.

Danu Tărchilă enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Danu Tărchilă finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Sam Sicilia 72%.

Danu Tărchilă carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.