Combat Edge Intelligence

Darragh Kelly vs Kai Kamaka III

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Darragh Kelly
ie

Darragh Kelly

“Moville Mauler”

9-1-0FeatherweightPFL

1672Good
Kai Kamaka III
us

Kai Kamaka III

“The Fighting Hawaiian”

18-7-1FeatherweightUFC

1670Good

Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record18-7-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'7"
73"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Darragh KellyNow 1672
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
Kai Kamaka IIINow 1670
If they win+12→ 1682
If they lose-12→ 1658

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.40
TBD
Strike accuracy
59%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.67
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.51
TBD
Takedown accuracy
54%
TBD
Takedown defense
55%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Darragh KellyKai Kamaka III
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
3 (17%)
5 (56%)
Submission
1 (6%)
2 (22%)
Decision
14 (78%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Darragh Kelly and Kai Kamaka III within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1670), separated by just 2 points.

Kai Kamaka III enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Darragh Kelly finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Kai Kamaka III 22%.

Darragh Kelly carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.