Combat Edge Intelligence

Darragh Kelly vs Sidney Outlaw

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Darragh Kelly
ie

Darragh Kelly

“Moville Mauler”

9-1-0FeatherweightPFL

1672Good

Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record17-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
73"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamDante Rivera BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Darragh KellyNow 1672
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
Sidney OutlawNow 1674
If they win+16→ 1690
If they lose-16→ 1658

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.13
TBD
Strike accuracy
33%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.80
TBD
Strike defense
71%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3
TBD
Takedown accuracy
75%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
3

Trajectory

Darragh KellySidney Outlaw
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
1 (6%)
5 (56%)
Submission
8 (47%)
2 (22%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Darragh Kelly63%
Sidney Outlaw 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Darragh Kelly a 63% favorite over Sidney Outlaw in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sidney Outlaw's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1674), separated by just 2 points.

Darragh Kelly finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Sidney Outlaw 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.