Combat Edge Intelligence

Darren Elkins vs Wagnney Fabiano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-12-0Record16-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'6"
71"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Duneland Vale TudoTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Darren ElkinsNow 1699
If they win+12→ 1711
If they lose-12→ 1687
Wagnney FabianoNow 1699
If they win+16→ 1715
If they lose-16→ 1683

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
1.19
38%
Strike accuracy
38%
3.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.66
52%
Strike defense
70%
2.86
Takedown avg.
3.44
35%
Takedown accuracy
64%
56%
Takedown defense
100%
1.08
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Darren ElkinsWagnney Fabiano
17002013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (31%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
6 (21%)
Submission
9 (56%)
14 (48%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Darren Elkins51%
Wagnney Fabiano 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Darren Elkins a 51% favorite over Wagnney Fabiano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1699 vs 1699), separated by just 0 points.

Darren Elkins finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Wagnney Fabiano 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.