Dashawn Boatwright vs Matthew O'Rourke
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-3-0Record0-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height-
41,0"Reach-
200 lbsWeight205 lbs
MMA InstituteTeamTeam Ryano Waterford
What's at stake
Dashawn Boatwright is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Matthew O'Rourke carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1513
If they lose-25→ 1465
If they win+25→ 1496
If they lose-23→ 1448
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1526 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matthew O'Rourke70%
Dashawn Boatwright 30%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Matthew O'Rourke a 70% favorite over Dashawn Boatwright in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dashawn Boatwright's way (47%).
Dashawn Boatwright holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1490 to 1471, a 19-point edge.
Dashawn Boatwright enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Dashawn Boatwright finishes 67% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.