Combat Edge Intelligence

David Allen vs Fred Ettish

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-2-0Record1-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight180 lbs
Roker Rough House MMATeamTBD

What's at stake

Fred Ettish is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — David Allen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

David AllenNow 1469
If they win+26→ 1495
If they lose-22→ 1447
Fred EttishNow 1493
If they win+22→ 1515
If they lose-26→ 1467

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1483 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

David AllenFred Ettish
1450150020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
1 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

David Allen66%
Fred Ettish 34%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes David Allen a 66% favorite over Fred Ettish in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Fred Ettish's way (47%).

Fred Ettish holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1493 to 1469, a 24-point edge.

David Allen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.