Combat Edge Intelligence

David Allen vs Gideon Ray

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-2-0Record17-15-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Roker Rough House MMATeamMMA Masters Chicago

What's at stake

Gideon Ray is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — David Allen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

David AllenNow 1469
If they win+25→ 1494
If they lose-23→ 1446
Gideon RayNow 1489
If they win+11→ 1500
If they lose-13→ 1476

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.08
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.58
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.49
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

David AllenGideon Ray
145015002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
8 (47%)
0 (0%)
Submission
8 (47%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

David Allen83%
Gideon Ray 17%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes David Allen a 83% favorite over Gideon Ray in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gideon Ray's way (47%).

Gideon Ray holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1489 to 1469, a 20-point edge.

David Allen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gideon Ray enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Gideon Ray 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.