Combat Edge Intelligence

David Allen vs John Renken

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Renken
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John Renken

“The Saint”

18-28-4MiddleweightHnS

1430Developing

Tale of the tape

2-2-0Record18-28-4
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight182 lbs
Roker Rough House MMATeamUSCAA

What's at stake

David Allen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — John Renken carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

David AllenNow 1469
If they win+21→ 1490
If they lose-27→ 1442
John RenkenNow 1430
If they win+13→ 1443
If they lose-11→ 1419

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

David AllenJohn Renken
1400145015002002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
3 (17%)
0 (0%)
Submission
13 (72%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

David Allen82%
John Renken 18%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes David Allen a 82% favorite over John Renken in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

David Allen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1469 to 1430, a 39-point edge.

David Allen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

John Renken enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

John Renken 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.