Combat Edge Intelligence

David Allen vs Yuki Sasaki

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-2-0Record25-22-2
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight180 lbs
Roker Rough House MMATeamGrabaka

What's at stake

Yuki Sasaki is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — David Allen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

David AllenNow 1469
If they win+25→ 1494
If they lose-23→ 1446
Yuki SasakiNow 1488
If they win+15→ 1503
If they lose-17→ 1471

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.73
TBD
Strike accuracy
39%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.80
TBD
Strike defense
57%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

David AllenYuki Sasaki
1450150020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
2 (8%)
0 (0%)
Submission
15 (60%)
0 (0%)
Decision
8 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

David Allen83%
Yuki Sasaki 17%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes David Allen a 83% favorite over Yuki Sasaki in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yuki Sasaki's way (47%).

Yuki Sasaki holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1488 to 1469, a 19-point edge.

David Allen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Yuki Sasaki enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Yuki Sasaki 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.