Combat Edge Intelligence

David Avellan vs Karl Albrektsson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record14-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'9"Height6'2"
TBDReach75.50"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
TBDTeamPancrase Gym Sweden

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David AvellanNow 1509
If they win+24→ 1533
If they lose-24→ 1485
Karl AlbrektssonNow 1509
If they win+24→ 1533
If they lose-24→ 1485

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1475 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.33
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
25%
Strike accuracy
TBD
10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

David AvellanKarl Albrektsson
150015502007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
1 (50%)
Submission
3 (21%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

David Avellan60%
Karl Albrektsson 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes David Avellan a 60% favorite over Karl Albrektsson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1509 vs 1509), separated by just 0 points.

Karl Albrektsson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Karl Albrektsson 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.