Combat Edge Intelligence

David Avellan vs Predrag Božović

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record2-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'9"Height6'4"
TBDReach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
TBDTeamMMA Team Zabjelo

What's at stake

Predrag Božović is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — David Avellan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

David AvellanNow 1509
If they win+25→ 1534
If they lose-23→ 1486
Predrag BožovićNow 1526
If they win+23→ 1549
If they lose-25→ 1501

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1475 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.33
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
25%
Strike accuracy
TBD
10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

David AvellanPredrag Božović
1500155020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (50%)
Submission
2 (100%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Predrag Božović53%
David Avellan 47%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Predrag Božović a 53% favorite over David Avellan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Predrag Božović holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1526 to 1509, a 17-point edge.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.