Combat Edge Intelligence

David Avellan vs Trevor Makengo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record2-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'9"Height6'3"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight239 lbs
TBDTeamC-MAC

What's at stake

Trevor Makengo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — David Avellan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

David AvellanNow 1509
If they win+26→ 1535
If they lose-22→ 1487
Trevor MakengoNow 1531
If they win+22→ 1553
If they lose-26→ 1505

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1475 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.33
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
25%
Strike accuracy
TBD
10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

David AvellanTrevor Makengo
1500155020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (50%)
1 (50%)
Submission
1 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Trevor Makengo61%
David Avellan 39%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Trevor Makengo a 61% favorite over David Avellan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Trevor Makengo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1531 to 1509, a 22-point edge.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.