Combat Edge Intelligence

David Baron vs Patrick Ocheme

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-4-1Record9-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"Height6'0"
TBDReach76"
169 lbsWeight157 lbs
Haute TensionTeamMayhem Fitness Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David BaronNow 1662
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646
Patrick OchemeNow 1662
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.53
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
44%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
14%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.13
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

David BaronPatrick Ocheme
155016001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (24%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
11 (65%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (12%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Patrick Ocheme62%
David Baron 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Ocheme a 62% favorite over David Baron in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans David Baron's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1662 vs 1662), separated by just 0 points.

Patrick Ocheme enters on a 7-fight win streak.

David Baron finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Ocheme 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.