Combat Edge Intelligence

David Dodd vs Joe Schilling

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
David Dodd
us

David Dodd

4-7-0Light HeavyweightKOTC

1483Average
Joe Schilling
us

Joe Schilling

“Stitch 'Em Up”

4-7-0Light HeavyweightPFL

1462Average

Tale of the tape

4-7-0Record4-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Arizona Combat SportsTeamThe Yard Muay Thai

What's at stake

David Dodd is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Joe Schilling carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

David DoddNow 1483
If they win+15→ 1498
If they lose-17→ 1466
Joe SchillingNow 1462
If they win+25→ 1487
If they lose-23→ 1439

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

David DoddJoe Schilling
145015001999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
4 (100%)
Submission
1 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting David Dodd and Joe Schilling within a point of even.

David Dodd holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1483 to 1462, a 21-point edge.

David Dodd enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joe Schilling enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

David Dodd finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Joe Schilling 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.