Combat Edge Intelligence

David Mitchell vs Donte Johnson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-7-0Record8-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height5'8"
TBDReach74"
185 lbsWeight209 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamTitletown MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David MitchellNow 1684
If they win+12→ 1696
If they lose-12→ 1672
Donte JohnsonNow 1681
If they win+24→ 1705
If they lose-24→ 1657

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.74
Sig. strikes / min
3.34
33%
Strike accuracy
64%
2.06
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.87
56%
Strike defense
59%
0.66
Takedown avg.
6.01
50%
Takedown accuracy
100%
29%
Takedown defense
80%
1.99
Submission avg.
2

Trajectory

David MitchellDonte Johnson
15501600165017001750201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (9%)
KO/TKO
6 (75%)
17 (77%)
Submission
1 (13%)
3 (14%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Donte Johnson72%
David Mitchell 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Donte Johnson a 72% favorite over David Mitchell in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans David Mitchell's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1684 vs 1681), separated by just 3 points.

Donte Johnson enters on a 8-fight win streak.

David Mitchell finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Donte Johnson 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.