David Onama vs Márcio Barbosa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-3-0Record18-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'6"
74"Reach70"
149 lbsWeight146 lbs
Factory XTeamEquipe RD Champions
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1729
If they lose-16→ 1697
If they win+16→ 1729
If they lose-16→ 1697
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
David OnamaMárcio Barbosa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Márcio Barbosa51%
David Onama 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Márcio Barbosa a 51% favorite over David Onama in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans David Onama's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1713 vs 1713), separated by just 0 points.
Márcio Barbosa enters on a 5-fight win streak.
David Onama finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Márcio Barbosa 94%.
David Onama and Márcio Barbosa share 1 common opponent: Gabriel Santos.
David Onama carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.