Combat Edge Intelligence

David Velasquez vs Lorenzo de Nigris

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-10-0Record2-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'5"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamLigorio Top Team

What's at stake

Lorenzo de Nigris is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — David Velasquez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

David VelasquezNow 1484
If they win+17→ 1501
If they lose-15→ 1469
Lorenzo de NigrisNow 1501
If they win+23→ 1524
If they lose-25→ 1476

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

David VelasquezLorenzo de Nigris
150015502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
5 (50%)
Submission
2 (100%)
2 (20%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Lorenzo de Nigris63%
David Velasquez 37%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Lorenzo de Nigris a 63% favorite over David Velasquez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Lorenzo de Nigris holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1501 to 1484, a 17-point edge.

David Velasquez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.