Combat Edge Intelligence

David Velasquez vs Matteo Martignoni

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-10-0Record3-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'5"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamAurora MMA

What's at stake

Matteo Martignoni is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — David Velasquez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

David VelasquezNow 1484
If they win+17→ 1501
If they lose-15→ 1469
Matteo MartignoniNow 1512
If they win+22→ 1534
If they lose-26→ 1486

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

David VelasquezMatteo Martignoni
150015502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
5 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (20%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Matteo Martignoni60%
David Velasquez 40%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Matteo Martignoni a 60% favorite over David Velasquez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Matteo Martignoni holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1512 to 1484, a 28-point edge.

David Velasquez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Matteo Martignoni 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.