Combat Edge Intelligence

David Wright vs Dylan Budka

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dylan Budka
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Dylan Budka

“The Mindless Hulk”

7-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1571Solid

Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record7-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'11"
-Reach75″
185 lbsWeight189 lbs
Lovato's School of Brazilian Jiu-JitsuTeamDemolition Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David WrightNow 1575
If they win+24→ 1599
If they lose-24→ 1551
Dylan BudkaNow 1571
If they win+16→ 1587
If they lose-16→ 1555

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.07
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.69
TBD
Strike defense
41%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.02
TBD
Takedown accuracy
38%
TBD
Takedown defense
77%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.40

Trajectory

David WrightDylan Budka
1500155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (14%)
3 (50%)
Submission
2 (29%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

David Wright63%
Dylan Budka 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes David Wright a 63% favorite over Dylan Budka in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1575 vs 1571), separated by just 4 points.

Dylan Budka enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

David Wright finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Dylan Budka 43%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.