Combat Edge Intelligence

David Wright vs Fernando Gonzalez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record29-20-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Lovato's School of Brazilian Jiu-JitsuTeamTeam Quest

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David WrightNow 1575
If they win+24→ 1599
If they lose-24→ 1551
Fernando GonzalezNow 1573
If they win+12→ 1585
If they lose-12→ 1561

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.80
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.06
TBD
Strike defense
66%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.57
TBD
Takedown accuracy
20%
TBD
Takedown defense
44%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.15

Trajectory

David WrightFernando Gonzalez
1500155016002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
12 (41%)
3 (50%)
Submission
6 (21%)
0 (0%)
Decision
11 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

David Wright73%
Fernando Gonzalez 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes David Wright a 73% favorite over Fernando Gonzalez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1575 vs 1573), separated by just 2 points.

Fernando Gonzalez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

David Wright finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Fernando Gonzalez 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.