Combat Edge Intelligence

David Zawada vs Mark Scanlon

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mark Scanlon

Mark Scanlon

“Scanno”

9-2-0WelterweightTeam Kaobon Liverpool

1581Solid

Tale of the tape

19-10-0Record9-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
UFD GymTeamTeam Kaobon

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David ZawadaNow 1584
If they win+12→ 1596
If they lose-12→ 1572
Mark ScanlonNow 1581
If they win+16→ 1597
If they lose-16→ 1565

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.84
Sig. strikes / min
2.20
41%
Strike accuracy
35%
4.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.33
56%
Strike defense
49%
0.97
Takedown avg.
3
33%
Takedown accuracy
75%
57%
Takedown defense
25%
1.69
Submission avg.
2

Trajectory

David ZawadaMark Scanlon
155016001650201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

12 (63%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
5 (26%)
Submission
7 (78%)
2 (11%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Mark Scanlon63%
David Zawada 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mark Scanlon a 63% favorite over David Zawada in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans David Zawada's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1581), separated by just 3 points.

David Zawada enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

David Zawada finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Mark Scanlon 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.