Combat Edge Intelligence

David Zawada vs Simeon Thoresen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-10-0Record17-6-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
UFD GymTeamFrontline Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David ZawadaNow 1584
If they win+12→ 1596
If they lose-12→ 1572
Simeon ThoresenNow 1585
If they win+16→ 1601
If they lose-16→ 1569

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.84
Sig. strikes / min
3.85
41%
Strike accuracy
44%
4.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.85
56%
Strike defense
65%
0.97
Takedown avg.
1.12
33%
Takedown accuracy
40%
57%
Takedown defense
50%
1.69
Submission avg.
1.68

Trajectory

David ZawadaSimeon Thoresen
160016502013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

12 (63%)
KO/TKO
1 (6%)
5 (26%)
Submission
15 (88%)
2 (11%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

David Zawada52%
Simeon Thoresen 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes David Zawada a 52% favorite over Simeon Thoresen in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Simeon Thoresen's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1585), separated by just 1 points.

David Zawada enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Simeon Thoresen enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

David Zawada finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Simeon Thoresen 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.