Combat Edge Intelligence

David Zawada vs Takenori Sato

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-10-0Record20-12-7
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight160 lbs
UFD GymTeamBattle Box

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David ZawadaNow 1584
If they win+12→ 1596
If they lose-12→ 1572
Takenori SatoNow 1581
If they win+12→ 1593
If they lose-12→ 1569

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.84
Sig. strikes / min
0.46
41%
Strike accuracy
33%
4.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
12.92
56%
Strike defense
10%
0.97
Takedown avg.
0
33%
Takedown accuracy
0%
57%
Takedown defense
0%
1.69
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

David ZawadaTakenori Sato
1600165020242025

Win method breakdown

12 (63%)
KO/TKO
3 (15%)
5 (26%)
Submission
8 (40%)
2 (11%)
Decision
9 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

David Zawada53%
Takenori Sato 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes David Zawada a 53% favorite over Takenori Sato in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1581), separated by just 3 points.

David Zawada enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

David Zawada finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Takenori Sato 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.