Combat Edge Intelligence

Dean Garnett vs Joby Sanchez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-4-1Record13-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
64"Reach68,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team McHaleTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dean GarnettNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Joby SanchezNow 1630
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.22
TBD
Strike accuracy
36%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.82
TBD
Strike defense
64%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.95
TBD
Takedown accuracy
71%
TBD
Takedown defense
52%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Dean GarnettJoby Sanchez
16001650201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
4 (31%)
6 (40%)
Submission
4 (31%)
5 (33%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Dean Garnett57%
Joby Sanchez 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dean Garnett a 57% favorite over Joby Sanchez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joby Sanchez's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1630), separated by just 3 points.

Dean Garnett finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Joby Sanchez 62%.

Joby Sanchez carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.