Combat Edge Intelligence

Dean Lister vs Hovhannes Voskanyan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dean Lister
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Dean Lister

“The Boogeyman”

13-7-0MiddleweightADCC

1558Solid

Tale of the tape

13-7-0Record10-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight172 lbs
Victory MMATeamErmak

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dean ListerNow 1558
If they win+16→ 1574
If they lose-16→ 1542
Hovhannes VoskanyanNow 1568
If they win+16→ 1584
If they lose-16→ 1552

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.30
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
34%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.98
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
62%
Strike defense
TBD
1.81
Takedown avg.
TBD
15%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.13
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dean ListerHovhannes Voskanyan
155016002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
11 (85%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (15%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Hovhannes Voskanyan70%
Dean Lister 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Hovhannes Voskanyan a 70% favorite over Dean Lister in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1558 vs 1568), separated by just 10 points.

Dean Lister enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Hovhannes Voskanyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dean Lister finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Hovhannes Voskanyan 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.