Dean Lister vs Nick Klein
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-7-0Record6-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReach77"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Victory MMATeamPura Vida BJJ
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1574
If they lose-16→ 1542
If they win+23→ 1589
If they lose-25→ 1541
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dean ListerNick Klein
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nick Klein66%
Dean Lister 34%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Nick Klein a 66% favorite over Dean Lister in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1558 vs 1566), separated by just 8 points.
Dean Lister enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Nick Klein enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dean Lister finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Nick Klein 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.