Combat Edge Intelligence

Dedrek Sanders vs Greg McIntyre

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record6-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'9"
70"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Anchorage Brazilian Jiu-JitsuTeamTBD

What's at stake

Dedrek Sanders is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Greg McIntyre carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dedrek SandersNow 1499
If they win+23→ 1522
If they lose-25→ 1474
Greg McIntyreNow 1483
If they win+25→ 1508
If they lose-23→ 1460

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.79
TBD
Strike accuracy
30%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.36
TBD
Strike defense
41%
TBD
Takedown avg.
5.09
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dedrek SandersGreg McIntyre
1450150020082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (22%)
Submission
4 (80%)
3 (33%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Dedrek Sanders60%
Greg McIntyre 40%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Dedrek Sanders a 60% favorite over Greg McIntyre in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Dedrek Sanders holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1499 to 1483, a 16-point edge.

Dedrek Sanders finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Greg McIntyre 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.