Dedrek Sanders vs Kaleo Kwan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record11-16-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
70"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Anchorage Brazilian Jiu-JitsuTeamHIbred House
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1523
If they lose-24→ 1475
If they win+12→ 1512
If they lose-12→ 1488
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1578 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dedrek SandersKaleo Kwan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dedrek Sanders72%
Kaleo Kwan 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dedrek Sanders a 72% favorite over Kaleo Kwan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kaleo Kwan's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1499 vs 1500), separated by just 1 points.
Kaleo Kwan enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Dedrek Sanders finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Kaleo Kwan 55%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.