Combat Edge Intelligence

Dedrek Sanders vs Luke Caudillo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record17-17-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'7"
70"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Anchorage Brazilian Jiu-JitsuTeamGrudge Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dedrek SandersNow 1499
If they win+25→ 1524
If they lose-23→ 1476
Luke CaudilloNow 1512
If they win+12→ 1524
If they lose-12→ 1500

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.75
TBD
Strike accuracy
24%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.98
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
86%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dedrek SandersLuke Caudillo
14501500201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
12 (71%)
2 (22%)
Submission
1 (6%)
3 (33%)
Decision
4 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Dedrek Sanders64%
Luke Caudillo 36%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Dedrek Sanders a 64% favorite over Luke Caudillo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Luke Caudillo's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1499 vs 1512), separated by just 13 points.

Dedrek Sanders finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Luke Caudillo 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.