Combat Edge Intelligence

Dedrek Sanders vs Marcos Rosa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marcos Rosa
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Marcos Rosa

“Digao”

2-3-0LightweightCESB

1485Average

Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record2-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"HeightTBD
70"Reach45.00
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Anchorage Brazilian Jiu-JitsuTeamTeam Nogueira Porto Alegre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dedrek SandersNow 1499
If they win+23→ 1522
If they lose-25→ 1474
Marcos RosaNow 1485
If they win+25→ 1510
If they lose-23→ 1462

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.25
TBD
Strike accuracy
28%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.11
TBD
Strike defense
43%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
29%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dedrek SandersMarcos Rosa
1450150020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
2 (100%)
2 (22%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Dedrek Sanders59%
Marcos Rosa 41%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Dedrek Sanders a 59% favorite over Marcos Rosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1499 vs 1485), separated by just 14 points.

Dedrek Sanders finishes 67% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.